This week oil rose to average just below US$73 a barrel, lifted by slightly better than expected GDP and jobs data out of the United States. However, it was still range bound between US$70 and US$75 for the week. Oil ministers of Qatar and Kuwait have urged OPEC to keep crude production targets unchanged as economies struggle to recover from a recession when they meet on 9 September. Crude futures have gained 59% this year in New York, rising to a 10 month high on 25 August on signs economic growth will raise energy demand. By the end of the week WTI for October delivery was however down 1.5% or US$1.15 at US$72.74 a barrel on the Nymex compared to the corresponding number a week ago. Similarly, the European Brent for October closed at US$72.79 a barrel, down US$1 1 40 (1 9%)
Polyester Chain: Sluggish Trend
Rising naphtha cost and many crackers shut‐down for maintenance and better‐than‐expected demand for ethylene derivative drove ethylene prices across markets in Asia, Europe and USA. They were up Euro 40 a ton in Europe while USG numbers gained US$20 a ton. In Asia ethylene was dearer by US$15‐20 a ton. Contrary to this paraxylene prices drifted down as producers struggled to generate margins amid waning downstream demand Prices declined by almost US$40‐50 a ton in Asia and Europe. With demand saturating MEG and PTA prices continued to ease in Asian markets. This weakening held no support to polyester chips markets and prices rolled over previous week’s numbers while China reported decline in prices of super bright chips. Prices of POY in China and DTY in Pakistan saw some upward movement while other PFYs were stable in Asian markets, rolling over previous week’s numbers. Polyester staple fibre prices continued to soften in China while they were up in Pakistan. Market sentiments were weakening given the uncertainties over feedstock cost and resistance from downstream.
Nylon Chain: Input Cost Down
The fall in benzene prices which began in the mid‐August just like they moved up quickly in July continued as selling interest was widespread and the market was long. Asian suppliers were hoping to export benzene to USA and Europe where prices although falling were higher than Asian numbers. Low buying interest and falling benzene prices resulted in Asian CPL price declining by almost 5% this week. The softening of caprolactum prices quickly reflected in nylon chip prices in China. Producers too reduced their offers to pass‐on the benefit of lower input cost. FDY prices remain firm this week as nylon chips prices were still high. However, falling input costs checked producers from any price rise. POY and DTY prices were steady.
Acrylic Chain: ASF Cheaper
Propylene prices eased again in Asia and Europe but rose in USA on aggressive demand. Supply was tight as FCC had reduced propylene operating rates due to high crude oil prices. Despite the softening, acrylonitrile prices increased further in Asia on expectation that demand will increase aggressively in September. Acrylic fiber market was steady‐to‐weak with demand hard to pick‐up. Prices edged down but are likely to move up as the slack season ends entering September.
Viscose Chain: VSF Gains on Downstream Sentiments
Wood pulp supply continued to remain tight and offers were hard to come. Prices rolled over previous week’s numbers. Viscose staple prices gained 2 cents a kg in China while those in India and Pakistan were steady. However, Indian VSF was cheaper by 1cent as INR depreciated against the US$. In China prices were well supported by aggressive downstream rayon spun yarn market where prices were up 2 cents a kg. Viscose filament yarn prices were steady rolling over previous week’s numbers. However, downstream demand was hard to pickup.